Dying with and due to COVID-19

Most deceased people with a positive test die due to the disease.

Anthony B. Masters
2 min readJan 9, 2021

A common question is: are people dying with COVID-19 or due to COVID-19?

In short

  • The daily measure in England counts: deaths within 28 days of a positive test result.
  • Up to 3rd August, 95% of these deaths had COVID-19 on the death certificate.
  • In England and Wales, about 9 in 10 registered deaths involving COVID-19 had the disease as the cause.

Counts and certificates

Viruses spread in the body by invading cells and then reproducing copies of itself. That virus moves on to inhabit nearby cells. In serious cases, SARS-CoV-2 lands in the lungs. That can trigger inflammation as the body tries to fight the virus. It can also injure other organs. COVID-19 patients die due to the disease for many reasons, including respiratory failure.

Public Health England analysed deaths where the person had a positive test result. This analysis was up to 3rd August 2020, excluding 1,438 deaths not linked to a death registration. 91% of the 40,160 deaths with a positive test result had COVID-19 mentioned on the death certificate. That means COVID-19 was either the cause or contributory factor to the death.

That proportion rises to 95% for deaths within 28 days of the first positive specimen date. That includes samples taken after death.

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Anthony B. Masters

This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.