World Cup draws and probabilities

The televised World Cup draw selected groups for the men’s football competition. There are three good properties for a drawing system to have:

  • Fairness: no team should have greater chances than others of a ‘tough’ group.
  • Balance: the groups should be at a similar competitive level.
  • Uniformity: the probability of each valid outcome should be the same.

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Anthony B. Masters

Anthony B. Masters

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This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.