World Cup draws and probabilities

The televised World Cup draw selected groups for the men’s football competition. There are three good properties for a drawing system to have:

  • Fairness: no team should have greater chances than others of a ‘tough’ group.
  • Balance: the groups should be at a similar competitive level.
  • Uniformity: the probability of each valid outcome should be the same.



Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Anthony B. Masters

Anthony B. Masters


This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.