Two Years On: British Public Opinion and EU Membership

In short

  • A small shift towards Remain: In polls undertaken since the EU referendum, there has been a small but sustained shift towards Remain.
  • Hypothetical and Real Referendums: A real referendum could extend or overturn this change, and turnout is inherently uncertain.
  • A People’s Vote?: Whether most people back a referendum is dependent on question wording. For consistent questions, support is slowly increasing.

Asking the Question Again

The example ballot paper was provided by the Electoral Commission. (Source: ITV/Electoral Commission)

‘If there were another referendum…’

YouGov’s Eurotracker

‘In hindsight’

This image shows only the YouGov polls of the hindsight question. (Source: What UK Thinks EU/NatCen)

Public Vote or Final Say?

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Anthony B. Masters

Anthony B. Masters

This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.