Member-only story

Grossly Wrong

Anthony B. Masters
4 min readJun 22, 2019

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During the 2016 EU referendum, a central figure underlay the Vote Leave campaign. It was used in their leaflets, in campaign broadcasts, in television interviews, and in large lettering on the side of their battle bus:

We send the EU £350 million per week; let’s fund the NHS instead.

This article examines some arguments made in defence of the misleading ‘£350m a week’ claim. Whether any politician has ‘lied’ about this matter is beyond the scope of my article.

What actually happens

In a reiteration of my article in September, there are four figures to discuss when talking about the UK’s EU contribution:

  • Pre-abatement gross contribution: If the abatement did not exist, this would be the amount the UK government sends to the European Union;
  • Post-abatement gross contribution: This is the actual amount the UK government sends to EU institutions;
  • Net contribution (after public sector receipts): This amount reflects the direct effect of EU membership on UK government finances;
  • Net contribution (after public and private sector receipts): This amount reflects the direct of EU membership on the UK economy.

These figures have different uses. However, the amount we “send the EU” is the post-abatement gross contribution.

Despite its name, the EU does not send the ‘rebate’ back to the UK: it is deducted based on the size of last year’s contribution.

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Anthony B. Masters
Anthony B. Masters

Written by Anthony B. Masters

This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.

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