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European Social Survey and Education
The UK’s survey gives a high estimate for remaining in the EU.
Four years after Brexit, support for the EU surges in Britain
The headline is inaccurate, referring to the European Social Survey. For the UK, NatCen conducted the survey between August 2018 and February 2019.
The high Remain share results from, in part:
- target population: a small number of respondents were 15 to 17.
- response options: the interview was in person, with few unsure answers.
- education structure: the sample has too many people with higher qualifications.
What is the European Social Survey?
The European Social Survey is a series of surveys run across many European countries. Each survey is a random probability sample, conducted every two years.
The UK has participated in each of the nine waves, funded by the Economic and Social Research Council.
In the ninth wave, NatCen conducted 2,204 face-to-face interviews of UK citizens aged 15 or over. These interviews were between 31st August 2018 and 22nd February 2019. The response rate was 41%.
The question for UK residents was:
If there were to be a new referendum tomorrow, would you vote for the UK to remain a member of the European Union or…