Estimating National Results in Local Elections

England has a confusing patchwork quilt of local government. Local elections differ from year to year, in what types of councils are up for election, which party is defending councils, and where these councils are in the country. To overcome these issues, two separate teams of political scientists estimate what each party’s vote would have been had the whole country voted.

This article will discuss the BBC’s projected national share for local elections, and interpretations of the 2019 local election results.