Big Money, Tiny Chances

In short

One in 302m: The probability of winning the Mega Millions lottery with a single ticket was one in 302,575,350.

Calculating the Odds

What are the odds? (Photo: ABC News)
This is a fuller explanation, for those interested.

What is more likely?

To give context, we can compare the US Mega Millions jackpot probability to other common probability games.

I was quoted on the BBC News website. (Source: BBC News)
  • Dying by a lightning strike in the next year (one in 9m).

--

--

This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store