Big Money, Tiny Chances

In short

One in 302m: The probability of winning the Mega Millions lottery with a single ticket was one in 302,575,350.

Calculating the Odds

What are the odds? (Photo: ABC News)
This is a fuller explanation, for those interested.

What is more likely?

To give context, we can compare the US Mega Millions jackpot probability to other common probability games.

I was quoted on the BBC News website. (Source: BBC News)
  • Dying by a lightning strike in the next year (one in 9m).



This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store