A simple Bayesian analysis of surveys

What share of UK adults gave the right answer to a statistical question?

Classical statistics thinks of probability as the long-run frequency of events. The Bayesian approach considers probability as a degree of belief. The language of probability then describes uncertainty in unknown quantities.

The Royal Statistical Society commissioned a survey of the public, asking this question:

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Anthony B. Masters

This blog looks at the use of statistics in Britain and beyond. It is written by RSS Statistical Ambassador and Chartered Statistician @anthonybmasters.