2019 Constituency Polls Accuracy
How accurate were constituency polls in the 2019 UK Election?
5 min readApr 18, 2020
Before the 2019 UK General Election, research companies conducted over 30 constituency polls.
This article seeks to understand the methods of constituency polling, and their accuracy. The analysis finds a decline in mean absolute error as the election approaches. This is in line with national polling.
Methods
The British Polling Council said 2019 was “more accurate” than any election since…
